November 21, 2008 6:46 AM
Holliday Feedback IV
Writer's note: I will attempt to answer these questions as they are asked. My answers will be in bold italics.
Christopher Morton writes, ``I know the Rockies have been getting killed for letting go of Matt Holliday. We all want an owner who will spend lavishly, but the fact remains that only teams with strong and relatively sure revenue streams can spend money without concerns about the risk of injury or declining revenues. I don't know the Monforts, and yes, they treat the Rockies from a business perspective, but I do not think they are the Bidwells of the Major Leagues. Why is it those who complain about them fail to realize that they have spent money to sign their top two pitchers (Aaron Cook and Jeff Francis), their infield and dugout cornerstone (Troy Tulowitzki) within the past year. They also made offers that were fair (yes, below market, but fair) to Holliday and Atkins. They were turned down. Which brings me to a couple of questions.
1) Did the uncertainty of Matt's and Garrett's future hold the Rockies from dealing prospects last winter to the A's or others with pitching to sell? The names being asked about were (Ian) Stewart, (Dexter) Fowler and (Ubaldo) Jimenez. Given the fact we were going to need to possibly replace a 3B and OF, how could we make a deal?
Tracy: In making long-range plans, the future of players such as Holliday and Atkins have to be considered, but to be honest, I don't think the Rockies gave the idea serious talk when those three names were mentioned. Those are three impact players. While Arizona gave up a large number of players, was there an impact player? The key player in the deal was supposed to have been Carlos Gonzalez, and if he is the player that some feel he can become, then the Rockies actually will have long-term gain from trading Holliday to the A's.
2) Are the Rockies looking to parlay the savings from Matt's contract (and possibly Garrett's if he is traded) to go after Orlando Hudson? Aside from Tulo's lost sophomore season, I would say the complete dropoff of Francis and the loss of Matsui caused the team to finish below .500. It seems the Rockies need to shore up their infield D again and they need speed at the top of the lineup, and Hudson would be a great pickup. Is that why EY Jr. is being tried out in CF?
Tracy: Hudson is one free agent who has caught the Rockies attention. He would give them a leadoff hitter, but defensively, as good as he is, I don't see him as being markedly better in the field than Clint Barmes. I really wasn't one of those who felt the loss of Matsui hurt the Rockies, given his injury problems that limited his playing time and continued to be a problem in Houston. The Rockies are look at EY Jr., in center field because they are trying to expand his options. There are major concerns about his defense at second base. With his offensive skills, the Rockies want to see if they can find a better fit.
3) My fellow Rockies fans are saying we got robbed for Matt (why didn't we get a #1 or a #2?). Of course, a potentially ready 5 tool player, an innings-eater and a solid bullpen arm are not exactly leftovers, but how much did the 1) Coors Field factor, 2) 2008 lower numbers and 3) his one-year rental factor in? In that case, did O'Dowd and the Monforts make a mistake in not dealing him last winter? Would that have been possible coming off a World Series, or do you think it would have been the wrong signal to the fans?
Tracy: When teams talk to the Rockies, the Coors Field factor always surfaces, but how much it really affects interest in Holliday will be better examined next year when he is on the open market. The one-year factor was probably the overriding issue, but the Rockies were not about to move him a year ago because, as you point out, they were coming off a World Series and wanted to try to keep the core of the team together for a second run, and also when they were able to get the two-year contract in place covering his final two years of arbitration there was a feeling that could be a prelude to an extension covering free agency. That didn't work out, however, and so the Rockies decided to make a move.
Unlike a lot of fans, I am hopeful for 2009. If Cook can continue to develop and not tire late in the season, Francis returns to his norm and Jimenez grows into his talent, that is a sold 1-3. With our new arm, there are Morales, De La Rosa, Reynolds and Hirsch to fill out the final two spots in the rotation. That is not a great 1-5, but will match up with the division (save the Giants), especially with Peavy, Penny and Lowe leaving. They do have to find a way to replace the production from Matt and Garrett, but if Stewart is the player of July-August, that will help. It's not a strong division, but baseball always is full of surprises.
Tracy: A key will be Tulowitzki bouncing back and building off his second half. There is no way to ignore the need the Rockies will have for a right-handed bat in the middle of the lineup in light of the loss of Holliday.





November 21, 2008
9:36 AM
Bob Locke writes:
I think they have another good right-handed bat already in the person of Chris Iannetta, but yes, getting Tulo back to his rookie form at the plate would certainly be helpful.
And let's not discount the pick-up of Huston Street in this deal. If Corpas starts out in 2009 like he did in 2008, it will be an extremely good thing to have a former 30-save closer on the team backing him up. After Street finally got healthy at the end of last season (Sept./Oct.), he was phenomenal (2-0, 1.74 ERA, 10.1 IP) and even though he was hurt for a chunk of the year he still almost managed one strikeout per inning pitched (69 K's in 70 IP).
November 21, 2008
1:46 PM
Brett Jordan writes:
Tracy, the key to this offseason and any view of the Monforts as acceptable stewards of this franchise will be the payroll. With Holliday (9.5M), Wells (3M), Redman (1M), Herges (2M), and Fuentes ($5M) we are looking at about $20M reduction in payroll. This is not even counting Taveras, Atkins or others who may go as well. Other than Street at $5M we haven't gotten anyone back with salary. Smith and Gonzalez still make the minimum. I am not really getting a warm fuzzy that management will spend this extra payroll. Past history just suggests they will pocket this money, while saying they are the only smart ones and didn't overpay on real major leaguers.
November 23, 2008
1:44 PM
Bob Locke writes:
Some of the "extra payroll" is already ear-marked. For instance, the $5 million the Rockies will save when Fuentes walks is already allocated for the raise given to Aaron Cook (his salary will go from $5 million in 2008 to $10 million in 2009). And if they keep Atkins, he is going to definitely get a raise via arbitration and likely go from $4 million to something north of $6 million.
So, let's see what plays out. There are definite needs right now (everyday 2B and CF, and a lefty in the bullpen) that the Rockies need to address, and they should have a little flexibility to do so.
November 26, 2008
10:24 PM
KF writes:
About last season: there were two major factors, number two: was Francis... he has to pitch almost perfect to be very hard to hit because of his speed, but if.. he can start nailing the curve with his arm angle he could again be very tough... personally I don't think he throws as hard as he is capable of and has been dialed back too far... he needs 4mph more every pitch... and a little more passion! But the main factor last year was the loss of Helton... .
Really his injury all year... the Run started with him in '07 and his centrality was obviously more than just a little missed... the season was over as soon as he was out, at least psychologically. You could see it all over the team including the coaches, which is why I bet so many are gone. If he comes back solid... they have a chance. And Bailor shows Clint's character and I suspect will be very helpful to the team and to Todd. They needed that seriousness and focus in the couching staff that seemed to go out of the staff, after Todd went down.