October 30, 2008 9:11 AM
McCain pollster: race tightening
John McCain's pollster delivered a don't worry/be happy memo claiming the presidential race was tightening and key states are "very much in play."
Sara Burnett reports:
The memo provided to reporters says McCain is gaining in battleground states, particularly among men who haven't attended college, rural men and women, and independent or unaffiliated voters."The McCain campaign has made impressive strides over the last week of tracking," the memo states. "All signs say we are headed to an election that may easily be too close to call by next Tuesday."
The memo was written by Bill McInturff, pollster with the Republican firm Public Opinion Strategies. It refers to internal and external polling, but does not cite specific polls or list which battleground states are included. McCain campaign regional spokesman Tom Kise said it does include Colorado.
"All of the signs we are seeing nationally we are seeing in Colorado as well," Kise said.
The memo comes one week after a Rocky Mountain News/ CBS4 poll conducted by the same polling firm found Sen. Barack Obama with a 12-point lead over McCain in Colorado. It had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.38 percentage points.
The Rocky/CBS4 poll, conducted Oct. 21 to 23, showed Obama more popular among non-college-educated men than among men overall, though the sample size was small.
It found McCain leading in rural areas by 15 points, but Obama with an equally large lead in big cities, the suburbs and small towns.
It also showed Obama with a 2-1 advantage over McCain among unaffiliated voters.
Think McCain is gaining? Can he move the race to too-close-to-call by election day?
October 30, 2008
9:21 AM
benn writes:
McCain has trimmed about 1pt off Obama's lead over the last week... now he has to trim a point a day to get the race close.
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/
That site gives a nice analysis.
October 30, 2008
9:41 AM
gr8fuldude writes:
I think what he meant to say is that the noose is tightening. Around his own neck.
October 30, 2008
10:12 AM
Andy M writes:
With all of the polls out there, I find pollster.com to be the best way to see where the election stands. They take all of the poll figures and average them.
At this point, Senator McCain has a long way to go. Not only does he have to win every swing state (Colorado included), he has to win a state that is currently solidly blue.
October 30, 2008
12:57 PM
jay writes:
the electoral college count is really where mcsame's difficiences are starting to be felt.
he's in danger of not only losing, but losing by a modern day landslide.
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/calculator/
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/
at this point, you have to wonder how big margins have to be in the house, senate and presidential races before we can start discussing what kind of mandate the american people have given obama and the democrats.
October 30, 2008
1:36 PM
Shaggy writes:
jay,
"After several weeks of John McCain’s campaign attacks on Barack Obama’s tax plan and idea of “spreading the wealth around”, the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds voters trust McCain more than Obama on taxes, 47% to 45%."
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/mccain_trusted_more_on_taxes_and_economy
More inconvenient facts for you to digest.
Actually in your case overlooked.
I am so glad so many Berry supporters think this election is all but over.
October 30, 2008
2:26 PM
benn writes:
One portion of one poll shaggy? Pretty desperate eh?
October 30, 2008
3:20 PM
Tbone writes:
Ah, you beat me to it, Benn.
Keep holding out hope, shaggy.
It will make your crushing defeat even more bitter (and 33% more clinging!) and even more sweet for us.
Also - you forgot to mention that Obama is up 50/45 in the rasmussen poll.
October 30, 2008
9:43 PM
Big_D writes:
There is only one thing I would ask everyone regardless of party affiliation to ask themselves. Is torture wrong? I once thought the presidential race didn’t matter because there was little difference between the two candidates. John, a once tortured war prisoner, backing off the torture issue and losing his spine shows me he lacks what it takes to be President. In a world with a lot of shades of gray there are still some black and white rights and wrongs. Torture is wrong.
October 31, 2008
7:04 AM
Count the military ballots writes:
I don't even think the 35,000 votes Coffman is trying to suppress will make a difference. The polls under represent young voters who have become very active in this election and favor Obama 70% over McCain 30%. It is sad that Coffman would try and suppress the military vote but the GOP is very desperate.
October 31, 2008
7:58 AM
Badger writes:
The McCain Camp is turning into Baghdad Bob in the final days.
October 31, 2008
11:35 AM
40acresandmymuleandNAMvetbennies writes:
MASSA John "fossilized-felon" McCain (ho-hopper, drunk, voter-fraud, PERJURY, and descendant of MS plantation and slave owners), how much of your personal $40 million wealth (BLOOD-LOOT), was earned from the backs of pimped and exploited Black slaves?
Sincerely,
Your Black Navy bro
October 31, 2008
3:40 PM
allie writes:
SO WHEN IS OBAMA EVER, EVER GOING TO PULL AWAY IN THE POLLS??
INSTEAD, McCAIN IS GAINING!!
WHAT'S HAPPENING??
October 31, 2008
6:51 PM
jbrinkmeyer writes:
The only evidence of any "tightening in the polls" that would have any significance for the election is mainly in Rick Davis' head. The latest numbers have Obama with a comfortable 6% lead nationally (in the aggragate) and a near lock up in electoral college votes. The best polling sites show Obama winning with 340-350 electoral college votes.
Remember Bush telling us that Iraq had WMD's? That's kind of like Davis' claim that they're going to win. No evidence for it. It's just what they prefer to believe.
Note to Republicans: try to be good losers.
http://sarahpalinwatch.blogspot.com